Black people in criminal courts in Canada: An exploration using the relative rate index
Method
Procedures and measures
This study uses the same methodology and datasets as a separate recent study that focused on Indigenous people in criminal courts (Saghbini, Bressan, & Paquin-Marseille, 2021). This project was a collaborative effort between the Research and Statistics Division at the Department of Justice Canada and the Canadian Centre for Justice and Community Safety Statistics at Statistics Canada. The data presented in this report were obtained through a data linkage: records from Statistics Canada’s 2016 Census of Population long-form (Census)Footnote5 and the Integrated Criminal Court Survey (ICCS)Footnote6 were assessed and linked based on the probability that they belonged to the same person. Both the ICCS appearance and charge files were required to complete the linkage since each file contained specific information on the court outcomes examined in this study. More specifically, data from the ICCS appearance file with personal identifiers were first sent to the Social Data Linkage Environment (SDLE)Footnote7 to identify unique individuals. These individuals were then linked back to the ICCS charge file, which is composed of charges for completed court cases (i.e., cases where all charges received a final decision).Footnote8 To obtain the Black identity of ICCS accused, individuals from the ICCS charge file were linked to the long form Census, which was administered to 25% of the Canadian population. The ICCS cohort had a linkage rate of 13% (or 52% of the possible 25%). In order to make inferences to the entire population of ICCS individuals, Census weights were adjusted to match the complete ICCS cohort.Footnote9 Within the ICCS cohort, only individuals who had a completed court case and were linked to the Census were retained for this study, along with their weights and Black identity.
The data obtained through the data linkage procedure are national in scope and include information from 11 provinces/territories. Data from Quebec and Alberta were excluded since the personal identifiers required for linkage were not available in the ICCS.Footnote10
The “Visible minority group” variable in the Census was used to create two study groups: Black accused and White accused. The term “Black accused” represents those who identified as Black on the 2016 Census.Footnote11 For the purpose of this study, the term “White accused” includes individuals identified as neither Indigenous, nor as a visible minorityFootnote12 (hereinafter “racialized group”) in the Census.
The linked data for Black and White groups were used to generate two types of metrics: 1) proportions of Black and White accused in criminal courts; and 2) Relative Rate Index.
- Proportions of Black and White accused in criminal courts
To obtain the representation of Black people as accused in criminal courts, proportions of both Black and White accused were calculated based on the total number of accused in the ICCS. These were contrasted with the proportions of Black and White people in the Canadian population, which were calculated using the total Census population. For comparison purposes, individuals under 12 years of age were excluded from the Census population counts, as individuals within this age group are excluded in the ICCS.Footnote13 Proportion data (both ICCS- and Census-based) were generated for the three most recent Census years for which there were exact population counts: 2006, 2011 and 2016.Footnote14
- Relative Rate Index
The RRI method measures the likelihood of a selected group (Black accused) encountering an outcome (e.g., guilty finding, custodial sentence) relative to a reference group (White accused) encountering the same outcome. In this study, RRIs were calculated by dividing the rate of Black accused experiencing a court outcome by the rate of White accused experiencing the same outcome (see Annex 1). These rates are based on the number of Black and White accused experiencing a court outcome out of the total number of Black and White accused, respectively, “at risk” of experiencing the outcome. The term “at risk” refers to the different stages of the criminal court process; only those accused present in the court system at the previous stage are “at risk” of moving through to the next stage. For example, only those convicted—as opposed to all accused—are “at risk” of receiving a custodial sentence.Footnote15 Consequently, RRIs represent the level of disproportionality at key stages/decision points of the criminal court process, independent of any disproportionality that may have occurred at an earlier stage in the court process.
This RRI study examines the representation of Black accused relative to White accused at three key stages/decision points in the criminal court process:
- court decisions;Footnote16
- sentencing;Footnote17 and
- length of custodial sentences.Footnote18 In addition to the RRIs, for information purposes, data on the length of custodial sentences are also presented using the median length of custodial sentences in days as a measure (see Annex 2, Table 8 and Table 10).Footnote19
RRIs were generated for each of the years from 2005-06 to 2015-16.Footnote20 To limit the scope of the report and facilitate reporting of results for Black and White accused, RRIs are primarily presented in the text of the report as a single average across the 11-year period (i.e., rather than as 11 separate data points). Unless otherwise stated, RRIs are reported only if the data were available for each year of the 11-year period. This allowed for consistency in the reporting timeframe across court outcomes (e.g., court decisions and sentence types), as well as sub-outcomes (e.g., guilty finding and stay of proceedings or custodial sentence and probation). Since the average RRI may hide important variations from year to year, charts presenting the yearly RRIs are included for each court outcome examined, and notable trends are discussed.
The key RRI data presented in the report capture the total ICCS population. The RRI data were broken down by age groups (adults and youth), by sex (male and female), and by type of offence (violent and non-violent). RRIs for these groups are presented in the text where the data show a different trend than that of the Black population as a whole or where disproportionality is more pronounced at a specific juncture of the criminal court process when additional variables are taken into account. These breakdowns are also reported as an average over the 11-year period. In some cases, these reported breakdowns may hide important variations over time. It should be noted that certain breakdowns, such as for youth and female accused, resulted in low sample sizes; in these cases, certain data points had to be suppressed to ensure data quality and the confidentiality of individuals.Footnote21 These breakdowns are therefore unavailable for certain years. In these various instances, a note was made in the report. This issue was particularly pronounced with jurisdiction-specific data where breakdowns for most jurisdictions were not available. Therefore, jurisdictional data are not presented in the text of the report. Finally, data reported in the text of the report focus on the most notable results; complete data tables, including all available breakdowns, are presented in Annex 2.
Interpretation of RRI results
For each court outcome and breakdown, the average RRI of Black accused is established in comparison with that of their White counterparts, which constitute the reference group. For example, the likelihood of Black female accused being found guilty is established in comparison to White female accused being found guilty. A RRI of 1.00 means there is no disproportionality compared to the reference group. A RRI over 1.00 means that Black accused are more likely to encounter a court outcome than the reference group. A RRI lower than 1.00 means that Black accused are less likely to encounter a court outcome than the reference group.
For the purpose of this report, these thresholds were slightly adjusted. RRI values that were within four percent of the reference category (i.e., 1.00 +/- 0.04) were considered to present no disproportionality. For instance, Black accused and White accused are considered equally likely to encounter a court outcome when the RRI value is situated between 0.96 and 1.04. A RRI of 0.95 (or -5%) or less would indicate that Black accused are less likely than White accused to encounter a court outcome. A RRI of 1.05 (or +5%) or more would indicate that Black accused are more likely than White accused to encounter a court outcome.
| RRI value | Data reporting | Data interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 or more | +5% or more | Black accused are more likely than White accused to encounter an outcome |
| 0.96 to 1.04 (1.00 = Reference) |
-4% to +4% | Black and White accused are equally likely to encounter an outcome |
| 0.95 or less | -5% or less | Black accused are less likely than White accused to encounter an outcome |
In this report, RRI values are presented as percentages (see Table 1). For example, a RRI value of 1.20 would be reported as 20% more likely or +20%. The same applies to RRI values that are less than 1.00. For example, a RRI value of 0.85 would be reported as 15% less likely or -15%. RRI values of 2.00 or greater can also be reported in multiples. For example, a RRI of 2.00 (or +100%) would be reported as twice as likely. However, charts plotting the RRI data trends over an 11-year period (presented in the findings) use the RRI values, rather than percentages.
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